8:09pm: exit polls in Florida have 60% of voters 30 and under voting Obama. The question is: did they turnout, like Latinos did? Obama won the early and absentee vote in Florida, but not by much. Can he win among those who voted today? Turnout in Orange County is key, especially if Latino turnout is big. Again, to reiterate: hard for Romney to find a path to victory, if Obama surprises in Florida.
8:08pm: early, but Democratic Senate candidates appear to be winning in MA, CT, MO.
8:06pm: the exit polls in Ohio indicate a party breakdown that matches the pre-election polls -- which is good for Obama, since the polls have indicated a small but steady lead for the President for weeks.
8:00pm: everything called as expected thus far. PA and NH are the key. If PA drags outs, its trouble for Obama.
7:53pm: both Florida and -- surprisingly -- North Carolina remain too close to call. Florida is not a surprise, but NC is a modest one, in Obama's favor.
7:52pm: long lines at the polls have caused Virginia to delay release of its results until after 8pm.
Thoughts on politics, cities and the state of American life, culture and economics, from the perspective of a pragmatic lefty historian. "Chants Democratic" comes from "Leaves of Grass" by Walt Whitman, the avatar of American Democracy.
- Mark Santow
- I am Associate Professor and Chair of the History Department at the University of Massachusetts-Dartmouth. I am also the Academic Director of the Clemente Course in the Humanities, in New Bedford MA. Author of "Social Security and the Middle Class Squeeze" (Praeger, 2005) and the forthcoming "Saul Alinsky the Dilemma of Race in the Post-War City" (University of Chicago Press), my teaching and scholarship focuses on American urban history, social policy, and politics. I am presently writing a book on home ownership in modern America, entitled "Castles Made of Sand? Home Ownership and the American Dream." I live in Providence RI, where I have served on the School Board since March 2015. All opinions posted here are my own.
Tuesday, November 06, 2012
update after 8pm: Florida!
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